Sunday, February 03, 2008

I'm Not Sure I Believe This Poll

I was under the impression that Hillary's lead in California was insurmountable, but a recent Zogby poll says otherwise:

A new Zogby poll in California — a state that may well decide the direction of the Democratic race — shows Barack Obama taking a small lead over Hillary Clinton, within the margin of error. Obama has 45% to Clinton's 41%, with Obama's 20-point lead among men making up for Hillary's 11-point lead with women. * * *
I know that poll results haven't been all that reliable this season, but this is an interesting development.

Meanwhile, it looks like Giuliani wasn't getting much bang for his buck during his disastrous run for the Republican nomination (from Josh Marshall):

Over $50 million for a single delegate.

As the LA Times notes, that's the worst dollar for delegate record in American presidential history. The previous winner was John Connally who spent $11 million for a single delegate in 1980.

And at that rate Rudy would have needed $60 billion to win the nomination.

On the other hand, 9/11 did change everything.

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