Monday, March 05, 2012

Super Tuesday Prediction

The two states that Santorum has the best chance to win -- Ohio and Tennessee -- will both go to Romney, which will mark the end of Santorum's campaign and will essentially mean that Romney becomes the GOP's de facto nominee. Santorum was recently ahead in both states -- and still has a lead in some polls -- but Mitt has the momentum now.

In other words, the campaign for the General Election will start on Wednesday, which is fine with me. Bring it on.

Santorum had a shot at prolonging this thing, but he blew it by focusing on loser social issues for the GOP -- such as contraception -- and he helped damage the GOP brand in the process:
Four in 10 of all adults say the GOP nominating process has given them a less favorable impression of the Republican Party, versus just slightly more than one in 10 with a more favorable opinion.

Additionally, when asked to describe the GOP nominating battle in a word or phrase, nearly 70 percent of respondents – including six in 10 independents and even more than half of Republicans – answered with a negative comment. * * *

And perhaps most significantly, the GOP primary process has taken a toll on the Republican presidential candidates, including front-runner Mitt Romney, who is seen more unfavorably and whose standing with independents remains underwater
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