Monday, January 23, 2012

So Much For Romney's Florida Firewall (With Update)

From The Weekly Standard:
A new poll from Florida conduced by InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research finds 34.4 percent of Republican voters going for Newt Gingrich and 25.6 percent for Mitt Romney. Ron Paul has support from 13.1 percent, while Rick Santorum gets 10.7 percent.

The poll is "Among Registered Voters Who Will be Voting in Florida's Republican Presidential Primary," and was conducted the day after Gingrich handily won the South Carolina contest.
The next few weeks are going to be very interesting. Newt's got the momentum, but Romney's got the money and it remains his race to win.

My only concern now is Newt's big mouth, which gets him in trouble every time. But if Newt can avoid saying something stupid just for a few weeks (a tall order, I know), then I think we'll have a real race here.

UPDATE: The latest Rasmussen poll gives Gingrich a nine-point lead in Florida (Gingrich 41% and Romney 32%). Expect to see Romney really go on the attack against Gingrich in tonight's debate.

2 comments:

JB said...

This whole thing is so awesome. Romney will expend more and more of his cash attacking Newt, creating great Obama talking points in the process. Bruce Bueno de Mesquita (math/game theorist guy) was guest on Colbert last night and predicted Newt will win the nomination and lose the general election (which makes logical sense).

Harold said...

I lose five dollars if Newt get the nomination, but it'll be the best money I've ever spent. Newt will do well in the Red States, but he's going to have a difficult time competing in the swing states.